Modeling the evolution of operating systems: An empirical study

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

1-1-2007

Abstract

In this paper, we report on an empirical experiment where we observe, record and analyze the evolution of selected operating systems over the past decades, and derive a statistical model that captures relevant evolutionary laws. This model is derived by quantifying relevant attributes of operating systems, including intrinsic technical factors and time-dependent environmental factors. We use this model to understand past evolution and learn to predict future evolution, not only of individual operating systems, but also of operating systems features. We combine the insights gained from this study with insights gained from other similar empirical experiments to attempt to derive evolutionary laws for software technology trends. © 2006 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Identifier

33751017656 (Scopus)

Publication Title

Journal of Systems and Software

External Full Text Location

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jss.2006.03.049

ISSN

01641212

First Page

1

Last Page

15

Issue

1

Volume

80

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